Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 12.622880 14.057677 15.605576 17.402310 19.433871 21.663560 24.301226
2025-08-03 10.374347 12.304689 14.538526 17.325513 20.724524 24.754147 29.921168
2025-08-10 8.680207 10.865137 13.551078 17.120415 21.775973 27.692368 35.860174
2025-08-17 7.380574 9.682993 12.667605 16.862951 22.676543 30.548869 42.188070
2025-08-24 6.405102 8.760435 11.961416 16.694524 23.625600 33.577803 49.268180
2025-08-31 5.666031 8.044504 11.417709 16.641011 24.689070 36.894096 57.340044
2025-09-07 5.186728 7.624300 11.221847 17.040516 26.451426 41.494923 68.234272
2025-09-14 4.661981 7.064701 10.737364 16.911773 27.341676 44.828185 77.644694
2025-09-21 4.171673 6.495658 10.161311 16.542943 27.758039 47.403019 86.178856
2025-09-28 3.801400 6.071891 9.760752 16.399260 28.515969 50.656816 96.564639
2025-10-05 3.613629 5.923052 9.789910 16.989326 30.653988 56.748095 113.733233
2025-10-12 3.433851 5.765728 9.781905 17.502945 32.712772 63.010697 132.588048
2025-10-19 3.220163 5.533305 9.626788 17.744593 34.326609 68.759305 151.885240
2025-10-26 2.967083 5.205009 9.263120 17.539892 35.014218 72.710252 168.032191
2025-11-02 2.732019 4.886285 8.883070 17.253602 35.488911 76.288519 184.184477
2025-11-09 2.520291 4.590582 8.515537 16.945315 35.869015 79.723888 200.863383
2025-11-16 2.343228 4.344153 8.218129 16.745625 36.461304 83.768651 220.253994
2025-11-23 2.197298 4.144598 7.993215 16.672814 37.335235 88.666093 243.394557
2025-11-30 2.109851 4.052899 7.977771 17.060758 39.370784 96.909734 278.830570
2025-12-07 1.981589 3.866344 7.745330 16.924052 40.089227 101.819346 305.377037
2025-12-14 1.844614 3.649816 7.428105 16.550110 40.146550 104.933529 327.019699
2025-12-21 1.738645 3.489380 7.216946 16.403340 40.775604 109.791867 356.133953
2025-12-28 1.697581 3.464144 7.301794 16.991584 43.483197 121.320077 413.019279